SEC Football Stock Market: Buy, Sell, or Hold - Alabamas13.com WVTM-TV Birmingham, AL

SEC Football Stock Market: Buy, Sell, or Hold

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Practice has started for most SEC teams, and as the season draws near, so does the hope of a successful season. Some programs will see those dreams come true, but others will be crushed by week one.

So what programs are on their way up, and what programs are on their way down? Here's the first edition of the SEC Football Stock Report.

Let's pretend that SEC teams are now public traded companies.

  • Alabama – HOLD – The Tide is on top of the college football world, but as Isaac Newton put it "what goes up must come down." I say hold on the Tide because it looks like the Tide isn't quite ready to come down.
  • Auburn – BUY "It's a new day" at Auburn and that attitude alone is reason to buy Tiger stock. It might not be a super quick turnaround, but the Tigers will show improvement on last season 3-9 record.  
  • Arkansas – HOLD – The Hogs finished 4-8 last season, and looking over their schedule I don't really see much room for improvement. I think best-case for the Razorbacks would be 6-6, but that is best-case scenario. I do like the Bret Bielema hire, but it's going to take time.
  • Florida – SELL The Gators overachieved last season, and could have easily been a 4 loss team. The Gators have offense issues, and now their quarterback Jeff Driskel will miss the first two weeks of fall camp. I love their defense, but I don't expect the Gators to be 11-1 at the end of the regular season again.  
  • Georgia – HOLD – The Bulldogs were just 5 yards away from playing for the BCS Championship last season, but I'm not sure Georgia can top that. I love senior quarterback Aaron Murray, their tailback combination, but they have a difficult schedule featuring Clemson, Florida, LSU and South Carolina.
  • Kentucky – BUY – Buying Kentucky stock will be a long term investment, but I think it's worth it. New Wildcat head coach Mark Stoops is doing all the right things to build a program. He's changing the attitude, and bringing in one of the top recruiting classes in the country. I look for Kentucky to do a little better this year, but I think Stoops gets them back into a bowl game sooner than later.
  • LSU – SELL The Tigers had 10 juniors leave early for the NFL Draft, and not only does that deplete the talent level, but it also makes for a weaker senior class. The Tigers are still a very talented team, and will still be a force in the west, but I look for them to take one small step backwards.
  • Ole Miss – HOLD – The Rebels shocked the SEC last season with a 7-6 record, but I'm not sold on the Rebels topping that record. I love what Hugh Freeze is doing at Ole Miss, but right now I say hold.
  • Mississippi State – HOLD – The Bulldogs have been on the hump for the past couple of seasons under Dan Mullen, but is 8-5 the class ceiling? I think so. This once again is a 7/8 win team, and I would hold unless they upset Oklahoma State in week one.
  • Missouri – HOLD – I think the Tigers win their first 4 games, but after that W's will be hard to come by. I think Missouri has a shot at 6 wins and a bowl game, but that's not worth buying.
  • South Carolina – BUY – This would be a high price stock to buy, but if the Gamecocks are going to win the SEC, this will be the year. The offense has skill and the defensive line is the best in the SEC. This is the "Ol' Ball Coach" best team since arriving in Columbia.    
  • Tennessee – BUY – I like the Butch Jones hire, and I love their offensive line, but it's hard to see this team winning more than 6 games. I say buy because I think they will increase in value over the year, and are on the raise.
  • Texas A&M – HOLD – I would hold on Texas A&M stock until the Alabama game. The outcome of that game will decide if you should sell or not.
  • Vanderbilt – HOLD – The Dores won 9 games last year, and to buy their stock now would mean they would need to match or top that total. It's still Vanderbilt, and I'm never confident in the Dores winning double digits.

 

What do you think? Who would you buy, sell, or hold? Let me know on twitter @Patrickp13       

     

 

 

 

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