13 INVESTIGATES: Preseason Predictions - Alabamas13.com WVTM-TV Birmingham, AL

13 INVESTIGATES: Preseason Predictions

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Starting back in 1950, the Associated Press issued its first ever Preseason College Football Poll.

That year, Notre Dame was the hot pick to finish number one.

Not only did the Fighting Irish not finish in first place, they finished the season unranked.

So much for accuracy out of the gate.

What about the rest of the preseason polls, you might ask?

We checked out where more than 1,200 teams started their college football season and found where they finished.

When we examined just the top ten teams in the last 63 preseason polls we discovered 24 percent of them dropped out of the poll by the end of the season.

What about the preseason poll as a whole?

Out of all the teams that began the season ranked, with dreams of taking the title 39 percent fell completely out of the poll by season's end.

When you fast forward to 2013, Alabama is the Associated Press' preseason number one.

This is the fourth time the Tide has earned that distinction.

However, out of the previous three occasions, only in 1978 did the Tide live up to the preseason billing and capture the crown.

That made us wonder, which college football team is most overrated in America and in the SEC?

We added up the number of times a team was listed in the AP preseason ranking but finished the season completely out of the poll.

We found that Notre Dame tops all NCAA teams by finishing unranked 18 times after starting the season in the AP poll.

Michigan State, Southern Cal, UCLA and Florida round out the most top 5 with 16 overrated seasons each.

As for the SEC, Florida is at the top, followed by Auburn, Texas A&M, Tennessee, with 11 overrated seasons, then Alabama, Arkansas and Georgia with 10 apiece.

Alabama comes in seventh in the conference with 8 overrated seasons based on preseason predictions.

Vanderbilt is the only SEC team which has never dropped out of the AP Preseason Poll by the end of the year.

That's because the resurgent Commodores have never appeared in the preseason poll to begin with.

The least accurate preseason AP poll was in 1960.

Six of the preseason top ten teams weren't even ranked by the end of the season.

The most accurate distinction goes to the 1974 poll.

Eight of the preseason top ten finished in the top ten.

Plus, the Associated Press correctly predicted Oklahoma would win the national championship.

Alabama finished fifth that year and Auburn rose all the way up to number eight.

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